NOAA updated hurricane outlook less "extreme", but still above-normal storm activity expected

Aug 8, 2013

While this hurricane season is shaping up to be above normal, and possibly even very active, the Atlantic Coast is unlikely to see the extreme activity predicted earlier this year by forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. 

This year has already produced four named storms – Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dorian – none of which reached hurricane status.   But the peak of the season, mid-August through October, is yet to come. 

NOAA Forecasters now say storm activity will be above-normal – and possibly even very active -- for a few reasons.   The conditions for storm development are favorable – and that includes an above-average sea surface temperature in the Atlantic and a stronger rainy season in West Africa.   

When storms form in the deep tropical Atlantic, as two of the four so far this year have, it's another indicator of an active season. 

NOAA forecasters expect between 13 and 19 named storms – which, alphabetically, brings us somewhere between Melissa and Sebastien.  Six to nine of those storms are likely to be hurricanes.  And three to five of those could be major hurricanes.  The season lasts until November 30th. 

NOAA officials say it’s important to review your family emergency plan, check that your emergency kit is stocked and consider insurance options. 

For more information on hurricane preparation, visit